Culver Academies
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #126
New Haven Regional Rank #24
Manchester Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 1.9%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational
Date 9/7 9/14
Team Rating 1,148 1,203 1,375
Team Adjusted Rating 1,203 1,111
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational
721  Charlotte Baxter 10 22:09 22:04 22:03
763  Natalia Pragale 10 22:17 22:39 21:49
1,042  Jade Springer 12 23:00 22:06 23:15
1,264  Aria Holtzman 10 23:29 22:55 23:54 23:20
Dorothy Sherck 10 24:02 23:59
Kenzie Miller 11 24:36 24:32
Maura Faul 12 25:10 25:44 24:28
Tamara Rivera 12 25:26 25:55 24:49
Evelyn Neville 10 25:51 22:41 26:37 25:50
Zoe Young 12 26:35 27:07 25:54
Ava Malaret 10 27:16 27:14




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 1.9% 19.9 513 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2
Sectionals 100% 6.0 176 1.9 97.7 0.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Charlotte Baxter 100% 109.5 100.0% 100.0%
Natalia Pragale 100% 116.1 100.0% 99.9%
Jade Springer 100% 156.9 100.0% 81.7%
Aria Holtzman 99.7% 181.9 97.7% 13.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Charlotte Baxter 24.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.1 4.4 8.8 16.1 16.3
Natalia Pragale 26.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.8 1.5 4.4 8.8 12.9
Jade Springer 36.0 0.0
Aria Holtzman 41.2